Locks & Shocks: Navigating 2024’s Trickiest Security Concerns

In an era where technology and societal norms are rapidly evolving, the landscape of physical security is undergoing a profound transformation. As we step into 2024, the intersection of advanced technologies like AI and emerging societal challenges demands a reevaluation of our security strategies. From cybersecurity integration to innovating on how we approach Security Risk Management, the way we protect our assets is not just changing; it's revolutionizing. In this article, I delve into the top five physical security threats of 2024, offering insights into how these challenges are reshaping the risk management strategies in both public and private sectors. Please write in the comments your thoughts!

1. Cyber and Physical Worlds are merging

The intertwining of physical and digital security systems has made cybersecurity a paramount concern. With increasing ransomware attacks targeting physical security systems such as access control and surveillance, how we understand physical security will always be different.

The latest hacktivist attacks in Israel, where various groups got access to CCTV and Access Control Systems, is the loudest example of what will likely keep us busy this coming year.

In contrast, this is also a blessing. Easier and faster data collection (including emerging information), mass notification systems, and identification of potential reputational damage via social media are only some of the integrated solutions you can find out there. All are based on the cyber world, supporting a more secure physical world!

Read more about this threat here.

2. AI: Your Best Friend and Worst Nightmare in One Digital Package

Where to start here? AI-driven predictive analytics and automation in access control systems are transforming physical security. AI's predictive power can identify potential security breaches, while automation enhances security by replacing traditional access methods with biometrics, offering both security and convenience​​. BUT... AI is not only your best friend but the best friend of potential offenders. Voice manipulation and high-quality video and photo editing for even people without such knowledge are only some of the concerns we may want to explore.

Speaking with a friend a while ago, the family they protect received a phone call where the wife of the asset appeared that was asking for help. Her voice was on the other line of the phone - however, the wife was next to the target too! How can you mitigate such a threat?

Read more about this threat here.

3. Drones: Cheap, Available, and uncontrollable

The nature of war zones is evolving, with commercial drones emerging as the "new superweapon". From Ukraine to Israel, the unauthorised use of drones is a significant concern that is difficult to address. Companies invest large sums of money in anti-drone systems, but detecting these devices remains challenging.

In contrast, drones can also be extremely helpful for cheaper yet more effective patrolling in complex or big territories. They can detect human-made risks (e.g., intruders) and natural risks (e.g., fire) better than humans, shrinking your workforce while you improve your capabilities.

Read more about this threat here.

4. The Rise of the Extremes

There is no doubt that the world has undergone profound stress and upheaval during the last few years: environmental crisis, Ukraine War, Israel-Palestine War, Chasms of inequality, Polarisation at its best, and, as a friend said - Elections where 4bn ppl will vote at once for the first time in the human history.

In periods of uncertainty, extremism always grows.

Couple this with likely securitisation for populistic reasons, and you have a mix worth keeping you awake during the night.

Read more about this threat here.

5. Climate Change

Climate change is increasingly being recognised as a security issue that affects both state and corporate security. It can worsen existing insecurities, such as political conflicts or economic challenges, and in extreme cases, even threaten the survival of entire nations. The concept of climate security has been gaining attention since the 1980s, with two main areas of research emerging: the risk of catastrophic climate change and its impact on human security.

These impacts will manifest in various ways, mainly through disruptions in supply chains and changes in migration patterns. Climate-related disruptions are expected to intensify existing global issues, including conflicts, political turmoil, and economic nationalism.

Read more about this threat here.

As we conclude our exploration of the top physical security threats of 2024, it's crucial to recognize that we are moving into an era defined by multiple, overlapping crises. These crises are not isolated events but persistent challenges that intertwine and influence each other, creating a complex tapestry of global insecurity. The enduring conflicts in Syria and Yemen, coupled with key crises that unfolded in 2023, illustrate this multi-crisis era where the end of one crisis often signals the beginning of another or where multiple crises coexist and feed into each other.

This new reality necessitates a dynamic and adaptable approach to security risk management. The merging of cyber and physical worlds, the dual-edged sword of AI, the unpredictable nature of drone technology, the rise of extreme ideologies, and the overarching threat of climate change - all demand a holistic and nuanced strategy. Security professionals must be adept at not only responding to immediate threats but also anticipating and preparing for the cascading effects of these interconnected challenges.

In 2024 and beyond, our resilience will be tested as we navigate this complex landscape. The key will be in our ability to adapt, learn, and collaborate across sectors and borders. By understanding the interplay of these diverse threats and leveraging our collective knowledge and resources, we can develop more effective strategies to safeguard our communities and assets in this rapidly evolving world.

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Locks & Shocks: Navigating the Convergence of Cyber and Physical Security Threats in 2024